# Ambiguity about the Custom Crate

**URL:** https://hhforum.superchargemobile.app/t/ambiguity-about-the-custom-crate/7822
**Category:** General Hero Hunters Discussion
**Created:** [October 3, 2018, 4:00pm UTC](https://hhforum.superchargemobile.app/t/ambiguity-about-the-custom-crate/7822 "2018-10-03T16:00:53Z")
**Posts on this page:** 1
**Showing post:** 11

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### Author: ![Sing](https://sea2.discourse-cdn.com/flex020/user_avatar/hhforum.superchargemobile.app/sing/32/5183_2.png) [@Sing](https://hhforum.superchargemobile.app/u/Sing)
#### Post date: [October 4, 2018, 10:50am UTC](https://hhforum.superchargemobile.app/t/ambiguity-about-the-custom-crate/7822/11 "2018-10-04T10:50:48Z")

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WalleWu, I don’t think 50% for a Tier 2 reward (5\* hero) is gonna be easy to reach.

Please see my post here: we need information to calculate the likelihood of the redistribution of drop chance after every opening.

> [@Custom Crate Drop Rates and Detailed Mechanics - anyone here an ace in statistics and probability?](https://hhforum.superchargemobile.app/t/custom-crate-drop-rates-and-detailed-mechanics-anyone-here-an-ace-in-statistics-and-probability/7878/):
>
> We need to figure out Custom Crate and see whether it is a decent deal to spend 5 bucks a week on it, as compared with the other choices we have. As far as I can tell this is how it works: (1) The player chooses certain rewards in 4 tiers Grand prize tier 1 - 1 item Tier 2 - 3 items Tier 3 - 6 items Tier 4 - 10 items. Total 20 items (2) In the first crate, each tier is assigned a certain drop chance, which is divided equally between each item in that tier. So, every item in the same tier ha…

You will see that the drop chance for Tier 1 is 0.26% and Tier 2 is 1.32%! It is gonna be a looong time for either of those numbers to reach 50% buddy.

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